Uncertainty in risk assessment : the representation and treatment of uncertainties by probabilistic and non-probabilistic methods / Terje Aven...[at el.].

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Part I Introduction
1. Introduction--

Part II Methods
2. Probabilistic approaches for treating uncertainty--
3. Imprecise probabilities for treating uncertainty--
4. Possibility theory for treating uncertainty--
5. Evidence theory for treating uncertainty--
6. Methods of uncertainty propagation--
7. Discussion--

Part III Practical applications
8. Uncertainty representation and propagation in structural reliability analysis--
9. Uncertainty representation and propagation in maintenance performance assessment--
10. Uncertainty representation and propagation in event tree analysis--
11. Uncertainty representation and propagation in the evaluation of the consequences of industrial activity--
12. Uncertainty representation and propagation in the risk assessment of a process plant--

Part IV Conclusions
Appendix A--
Appendix B--
References--
Index.

"There are a growing number of researchers and analysts who find the probability-based approaches for assessing risk and uncertainties to be too narrow and limiting. Uncertainty in Risk Assessment provides a broad conceptual framework and describes various alternative approaches of uncertainty representation and characterization therein such as probability-bound analysis, imprecise probability and evidence theory.The authors, whose own research has been at the forefront of developments in the field, include a number of real-life applications which demonstrate the practical use of the various methods in the different realistic circumstances. They provide invaluable practical guidance and clear recommendations on how and when to use the various approaches"--

"Uncertainty in Risk Assessment addresses an important and current problem for which there are competing solutions"--