TY - BOOK AU - Sekerke,Matt TI - Bayesian risk management: a guide to model risk and sequential learning in financial markets T2 - Wiley finance series SN - 9781118708606 U1 - 000SB:332.0415 23 PY - 2015/// CY - New Jersey PB - John Wiley & Sons, Inc. KW - Finance KW - Mathematical models KW - Financial risk management KW - Bayesian statistical decision theory N1 - Includes bibliographical references and index; 1. Models for discontinuous markets -- Part I: Capturing uncertainty in statstical models -- 2. Prior knowledge, parameter uncertainty, and estimation -- 3. Model uncertainty -- Part II: Sequential learning with adaptive statistical models -- 4. Introduction to sequential modeling -- 5. Bayesian inference in state-space time series models -- 6. Sequential Monte Carlo inference -- Part III: Sequential models of financial risk -- 7. Volatility modeling -- 8. Asset-pricing models and hedging -- Part IV: Bayesian risk management -- 9. From risk measurement to risk management N2 - Bayesian Risk Management details a more flexible approach to risk management, and provides tools to measure financial risk in a dynamic market environment. This book opens discussion about uncertainty in model parameters, model specifications, and model–driven forecasts in a way that standard statistical risk measurement does not. And unlike current machine learning–based methods, the framework presented here allows you to measure risk in a fully–Bayesian setting without losing the structure afforded by parametric risk and asset–pricing models ER -